The gold rally is ‘doomed to fail’: Strategist – CNBC
It seems that gold is gaining ground.
The yellow metal has risen more than 5 percent in one month, after having hit its lowest levels in five years this summer.
Yet one strategist and currency trader says the recent gold rally is still “doomed to fail.”
Boris Schlossberg, managing director at BK Asset Management, said the gains in gold are mainly attributable to investors’ covering short positions as the Federal Reserve pushes back a rate hike. Once the Fed decides to raise interest rates, he said, gold’s time to shine will be over.
“It just had a natural bounce because of that,” Schlossberg said Monday on CNBC’s “Power Lunch.” “The moment we get an interest rate on the dollar, I think that gold starts to go right back down.”
Schlossberg also said gold has benefited from a broader commodities comeback. Despite a 5 percent drop on Monday, crude oil has gained more than 6 percent in one month. Other metals such as silver, aluminum and platinum have also rallied in recent weeks.
However, with the dollar set to rise once the Federal Reserve makes its moves, “gold ultimately is still a sell on the rallies, and is probably going to be a decent sell at these levels,” he said.
From a technical perspective, Rich Ross of Evercore ISI said the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), which has risen 5 percent in one month, should run into resistance at the $113 level. He said the outlook for GLD will remain bearish until it reaches around $118, a 6 percent gain from where the ETF closed on Monday.
“Above $118, all bets are off. But it’s still a long way from here,” Ross said Friday.